b'Historical and forecast deliveries of commercial aircraft (1998-2021F) ism market doesnt have a measur-able effect on the broader industry. 1,800 It is really cool and sexy, he 1,606said, and it is the future. What it1,600 isnt is a substitute for what is down 1,498in the aircraft market.1,3971,436The same holds true for vertical1,400 1,352takeoff and landing vehicles.1,2741,243Fundamentally,Lineberger1,200 1,189said, scaled deployment isnt until 2030, 2035.Aircraft Units9799721,011He said when that market does1,000 914894900take off, it will be an exciting time 852832858for those targeting aviation and800 792802automotive.684668670It will be the first time we pro-586605duce vehicles that can fly at near600 automotive rates, Lineberger said.Aboulafia agreed that the tech- 400 nology needed for the urban air mobility market wont be available200 to allow significant adoption for a decade or so.We are all haunted by magazine- covers from the 1950s that assured 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020F2021FDeloitte Consulting us this was the future, he said.Regardless of the market being COVID-19, he said. to sell the business because of thetargeted, successful manufactur-Thats the part of the industryimpending decline of that market. ers continue to invest in advanced thats really getting clobbered,technologies to increase produc-Aboulafia said, and thats just aTapping Opportunities tion efficiency, maximize existing function of planes not being flown. Lineberger said the defense in- labor and reduce the cost per part Linebergeragreedwiththatdustry is booming for aerospacewhile generating less waste, Oliv-assessment. projects, plus the defense marketsieri said. She said Fictiv is investing We have projections that we arefor land vehicles, including trackedin automation and building a digital going to see a falloff in the MROand wheeled ones, and ships, suchthread that courses through the en-market, he said. We are seeingas submarines and surface vessels,tire production environment.evidence of organizations lookingare vibrant. Nonetheless, building a digital The government is taking the op- network is not a core competency contributors portunity to spur the industrial basefor manufacturers, and develop-by accelerating the acquisition ofment of such networks is highly frag-Deloitte Consulting LLP major platforms, he said, increasingmented, with many manufacturers 212-492-4000 the numbers they buy. There are op-not doing it well, she said. While 87% www2.deloitte.com portunities. Its just that you have tohave a high-priority digital transfor-Fictiv look beyond commercial aviation. mation initiative, only 14% believe 415-580-2509 Although other aviation vehi- that their digital initiatives are well www.fictiv.com cles have been discussed for manyfunded, according to the 2020 State years and development continues,of Manufacturing Report.IHS Markit Ltd. they are not ready for prime timeInvestment is needed to be-800-447-2273 and probably wont be for a while.come more efficient, Olivieri said, www.ihsmarkit.com Those include manned rockets foradding that platforms are available Teal Group Corp. space tourism and vertical takeoffto help manufacturers develop a 888-994-8325 and landing vehicles, or flying cars. digital thread so they dont have to www.tealgroup.com Lineberger said the space tour- do it internally.CTEctemag.com/cteguide.com21Outlook.indd 21 11/16/20 7:05 PM'